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Obduction Backer |
Joined: Wed Feb 10, 2010 12:28 am Posts: 1247
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So, the topic of pellet points is always a heated and sometimes interesting one. What we don't hear about is the health of the lake algae. If you haven't read about that, see this post -> http://mystonline.com/forums/viewtopic. ... 853#323853
Basically, every time you drop a pellet, you get points (0 to 1000) based on the quality of the pellets. But the pellets have an effect on the "lake health" number as well (-200 to 200).
While someone attempted to explain to me exactly how you get this number, I'll be honest and say I didn't quite follow it. But trust me, it's kinda technical. But, the number is there. And I trust that the person who got the number knows what they're taking about.
Total Lake Health (as of earlier today): 85,369,036
So, what does that represent? Well, it's hard to say. What we don't have are statistics on the number of pellets dropped, the values of those pellets, or the time it took those pellets to bake. Each recipe is different and always yields slightly random results.
If we assume, for example, that no pellets are ever lost, and that all baked pellets used the same recipe, we can come up with some estimates. This table shows the number of pellets baked and the total time devoted to baking.
Code: 1 hour 2 hours 3 hours 4 hours 5 hours 25 3414761|78 yrs 3414761|155.9 yrs 3414761|233.9 yrs 3414761|311.9 yrs 3414761|389.8 yrs 50 1707380|39 yrs 1707380|78 yrs 1707380|116.9 yrs 1707380|155.9 yrs 1707380|194.9 yrs 75 1138253|26 yrs 1138253|52 yrs 1138253|78 yrs 1138253|104 yrs 1138253|129.9 yrs 100 853690 |19.5 yrs 853690 |39 yrs 853690 |58.5 yrs 853690 |78 yrs 853690 |97.5 yrs 125 682952 |15.6 yrs 682952 |31.2 yrs 682952 |46.8 yrs 682952 |62.4 yrs 682952 |78 yrs 150 569126 |13 yrs 569126 |26 yrs 569126 |39 yrs 569126 |52 yrs 569126 |65 yrs 175 487823 |11.1 yrs 487823 |22.3 yrs 487823 |33.4 yrs 487823 |44.6 yrs 487823 |55.7 yrs 200 426845 |9.7 yrs 426845 |19.5 yrs 426845 |29.2 yrs 426845 |39 yrs 426845 |48.7 yrs
Key: [x-axis] bake time [y-axis] net health per pellet
So, the last thing we can do is try to figure out what the real values are likely to be. How much time has been spent? What percentage of pellets are discarded? What's the average pellet score?
Operating under the assumption that the majority of points accumulated are done by people who drop pellets religiously and therefore are likely to use the best recipes and accidentally discard pellets very infrequently, I think it's fair to assume that the majority of pellets add 175-200 points to the lake health score and the average bake time is 3 hours. That represents about 30 years.
To allow for people experimenting with other recipes, accidental drops, and higher bake times, etc, (without having any data on which to make a scientific adjustment), we can reduce the average lake health benefit to 100 and the average bake time to 3.5. That represents about 68 years.
So, how much time has been spent? Given that I haven't taken a degree in statistics, my best guess is about 50 years.
Final note: before someone says "OMG HAX!" - yes, friendly hacking was used to get the number. But remember, such "good" and "friendly" hacking is how we learn about the inner workings of the game. Without such pioneering work, things like WhoM, PlasmaClient, and the upcoming language packs from the URU Localization Project wouldn't be possible.
I hope you enjoy this information. If you did, make sure to take a moment to hug your local hacker.
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